Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029
2025-06-22 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000038
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000042
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000023 0.000048
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000056
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000065
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000014 0.000030 0.000077
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000033 0.000089
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000105
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000037 0.000118
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000040 0.000136
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000044 0.000160
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000177
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000048 0.000203
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000050 0.000223
2025-10-05 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000053 0.000259